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FA Cup
Stevenage
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 1
Guiseley

Reid (53')
Kemp (78'), Young (90+3'), List (107')
FT
(aet)
Longbottom (83')
Longbottom (45+2'), Moke (55'), Lufudu (99')
Stevenage win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stevenage and Guiseley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Guiseley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Guiseley
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

We say: Stevenage 2-1 Guiseley

 While Stevenage may make changes from the team that faced Bolton, it is difficult to see how Guiseley can take advantage given the calibre of their opponents. However, Guiseley have already won four FA Cup preliminary qualifying matches, and they could make Saturday's match a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Guiseley win it was 0-1 (3.73%).

Result
StevenageDrawGuiseley
69.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 17.96% (0.041 0.04) 12.34% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.2% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)39.8% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (-0.104 -0.1)62.16% (0.107 0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)10.3% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.102 -0.1)33.7% (0.106 0.11)
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.88% (-0.012 -0.01)43.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)79.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 69.69%
    Guiseley 12.34%
    Draw 17.96%
StevenageDrawGuiseley
2-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 69.69%
1-1 @ 8.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.96%
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.57% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 1% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.34%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Guiseley

Stevenage
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Guiseley
30.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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