Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Moynat
Benfica3 - 1Almeria
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Benfica and Almeria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Benfica
Friday, May 17 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 17 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Almeria 6-1 Cadiz
Saturday, May 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, May 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Almeria |
78.62% ( 0.88) | 12.79% ( -0.25) | 8.59% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 57.53% ( -2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.94% ( -1.02) | 25.06% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55% ( -1.35) | 44.99% ( 1.35) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.94% ( -0.06) | 5.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.86% ( -0.2) | 20.13% ( 0.2) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.59% ( -2.1) | 39.4% ( 2.11) |