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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Almeria


Falcao (26'), Mumin (82'), Trejo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lozano (30')
Pena (79'), Montes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria

We are not expecting this to be a classic, but it is vital that Rayo secure all three points. Almeria have been a very difficult team to back all season, and we are finding it tough again here, ultimately settling on a narrow success for the hosts on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
52.07% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42) 25.16% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 22.76% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.26 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (0.122 0.12)53.28% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (0.104 0.1)74.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.124 -0.12)20.46% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.197 -0.2)52.92% (0.194 0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.419 0.42)38.43% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.4 0.4)75.18% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 52.07%
    Almeria 22.76%
    Draw 25.16%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 22.76%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
76.1%
Draw
15.2%
Almeria
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Almeria
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Ramazani (65')
Isi (20' pen.), Nteka (28' pen.)
Lopez (40'), Garcia (51'), Valentin (65')
Feb 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Almeria
Ely (54' og.), Garcia (63')
Oct 8, 2022 1pm
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (31'), Morlanes (33'), Fernandes (54'), Corpas (56'), Balliu (59')
Fernandes (70')
Bebe (89')
Catena (26'), Antonin (44'), Valentin (49'), Garcia (86')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Almeria

Martin (55'), Velazquez (74'), Comesana (82')
Advincula (27')
Cuenca (90+5')
Akieme (50'), Villalba (60'), Sadiq (61')
Sadiq (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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