We said: Poland 1-1 Turkey
This should be an intriguing match, with the start of Euro 2024 just around the corner. Poland are in the better form, but Turkey defended impressively against Italy last time out, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Monday's contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.