International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Soldier Field
Mexico1 - 2Sweden
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 1-1 Sweden
Mexico were much better in the attacking third a week ago, but they were playing a side in Iraq who are not nearly as well-organised defensively as the Swedes are, and it seems as though El Tri are missing a midfield general who can take control of a game. On the opposite side, Sweden seem to have lost some confidence since missing the World Cup, and we do not expect they will find too many openings on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Sweden |
55.73% ( -0.01) | 23.83% ( 0.01) | 20.43% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
