Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
