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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
2 - 0
Rotherham

Russell (32'), Humphrys (86')
Connell (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Rotherham United

Barnsley tend to fare well in matches against Rotherham, and we think that the Tykes make full use of home advantage to clinch all three points and record a fifth consecutive win in head-to-head meetings with the Millers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
36.82% (-0.108 -0.11) 24.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 38.4% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.35599999999999 0.36)44.61% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.343 0.34)66.98% (-0.345 -0.34)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)23.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.15 0.15)58.08% (-0.153 -0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.255 0.25)23.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.371 0.37)56.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.83%
    Rotherham United 38.4%
    Draw 24.77%
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Rotherham

Barnsley
70.2%
Draw
17.5%
Rotherham United
12.3%
57
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barnsley
1-0
Rotherham
Morris (2')
Sibbick (65'), Halme (85')

MacDonald (28'), Wood (45+1'), MacDonald (54')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
1-2
Barnsley
Smith (57')
Lindsay (69'), Wood (77'), Smith (81')
Woodrow (8'), Mowatt (15')
Sollbauer (56')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
4-0
Barnsley
Proctor (67', 73', 75'), Moore (91')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Barnsley
4-0
Rotherham
Roberts (54'), Hammill (57'), Bradshaw (86'), Kent (91')
Scowen (55')

Newell (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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