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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Rotherham United |
36.82% ( -0.11) | 24.77% ( -0.08) | 38.4% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.57% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.38% ( 0.36) | 44.61% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.02% ( 0.34) | 66.98% ( -0.34) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 0.1) | 23.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 0.15) | 58.08% ( -0.15) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.25) | 23.05% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 0.37) | 56.88% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |