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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
AJ Auxerre

Marseille
1 - 3
Auxerre

Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 4-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Auxerre

 Despite suffering from peculiarly poor home form so far, Marseille will again be big favourites ahead of this clash, and will look to take advantage of playing earlier to close the gap on PSG. Auxerre have not travelled well so far this season, and without two key defenders due to suspension, they could struggle to keep this impressive Marseille attack at bay. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
53.67% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 22.24% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.09% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.47% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (0.012 0.01)61.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03)42.97% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.64% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.69% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.67%
    Auxerre 24.09%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.67%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Marseille vs Auxerre

Marseille
87.4%
Draw
10.5%
Auxerre
2.1%
143
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
2-1
Auxerre
Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Toure (33')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
> Preview
May 13, 2012 4pm
Marseille
3-0
Auxerre
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
Auxerre
2-2
Marseille
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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