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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Tezuka (8' og.)
Tanaka (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 22 at 10.30am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu

 Cerezo come into this game as strong favourites to win having enjoyed a much better first half of the season in comparison to their visitors, and just one defeat in the last eight meetings between these two leads us to believe the hosts will secure all three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cerezo Osaka.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
48.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 25.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 26.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.98% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)20.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 48.5%
    Sagan Tosu 26.41%
    Draw 25.08%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Sagan Tosu

Cerezo Osaka
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Sagan Tosu
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Cerezo

Horigome (42')
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Cerezo
Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
Ceara (13')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Gameweek 4
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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