KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen0 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
| 17.24% | 18.18% | 64.58% |
| Both teams to score 63.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.31% | 29.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% | 30.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.68% | 66.32% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% | 8.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.91% | 30.09% |
| Score Analysis |
Heerenveen 17.24%
Ajax 64.58%
Draw 18.18%
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.62% 1-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.25% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 2.64% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.18% | 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-4 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 4.57% 0-4 @ 3.87% 2-4 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 1.89% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.11% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.54% Total : 64.58% |
How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax
Heerenveen
15.2%Draw
2.2%Ajax
82.6%46
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Mar 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
1-3
Ajax
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Jan 24, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
3-1
Heerenveen
Jan 20, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-4
Heerenveen
