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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Las Palmas

Alaves
0 - 1
Las Palmas


Abqar (48'), Marin (90+7'), Gorosabel (90+2'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (31')
Cardona (8'), Munoz (33'), Herrera (90+8'), Park (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Terrassa 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 6 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Tudelano 1-2 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas

Games involving Las Palmas are not often high-scoring affairs, and we are also expecting this to be a very tight match in terms of the scoreline. Both Segunda Division meetings between the two sides last season finished level, but we are backing Las Palmas to shade a close contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
41.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 28.57% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 29.82% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.9% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75% (0.060000000000002 0.06)61.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (0.044 0.04)81.17% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)29.01% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.91% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)36.75% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)73.54% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 41.61%
    Las Palmas 29.82%
    Draw 28.56%
AlavesDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 13.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 29.82%

How you voted: Alaves vs Las Palmas

Alaves
37.9%
Draw
20.7%
Las Palmas
41.4%
29
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Las Palmas
0-0
Alaves
Park (90')
Blanco (31'), Benavidez (42'), Duarte (60'), Rioja (90+1'), Sevilla (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Alaves
1-1
Las Palmas
Rebbach (24')
Cardona (54')
Mfulu (44'), Suarez (49')
Apr 22, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-4
Alaves

Aguirregaray (26'), Galvez (90')
El Haddadi (51', 73'), Medran (79'), Sobrino (90')
Duarte (39'), Ely (49')
Dec 8, 2017 8pm
Apr 23, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
1-1
Alaves
Boateng (44')
Mesa (22'), Michel (73'), Garcia (78'), Montoro (90')
Livaja (87')
Gomez (61')
Deyverson (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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