La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
We said: Alaves 0-1 Las Palmas
Games involving Las Palmas are not often high-scoring affairs, and we are also expecting this to be a very tight match in terms of the scoreline. Both Segunda Division meetings between the two sides last season finished level, but we are backing Las Palmas to shade a close contest this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61% . A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6% .
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%) . The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
Result Alaves Draw Las Palmas 41.61% ( -0.07) 28.57% ( -0.01) 29.82% ( 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.06)
38.75% ( 0.06) 61.24% ( -0.06)
18.82% ( 0.04) 81.17% ( -0.05)
70.99% ( -0.01) 29.01% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.09% ( -0.02) 64.91% ( 0.02)
63.24% ( 0.1) 36.75% ( -0.1)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.46% ( 0.1) 73.54% ( -0.1)
Alaves 41.61%
Las Palmas 29.82%
Draw 28.56%
Alaves Draw Las Palmas 1-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.61% 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.56% 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 29.82%
How you voted: Alaves vs Las Palmas
29
rhs 2.0
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