Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.29% ( -0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.06) | 45.91% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% ( 0.18) | 51.73% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( 0.15) | 73.51% ( -0.15) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( 0.03) | 32.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( 0.03) | 69.43% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% ( 0.15) | 22.51% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( 0.22) | 56.07% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |