Matches between these two sides always mean something, even pre-season friendlies, and neither manager will want to lose, that is for certain. We are expecting it to be an entertaining affair between two strong outfits, with the spoils potentially being shared on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
55.39% ( 2.46)	20.82% ( -0.97)	23.79% ( -1.49)

Both teams to score 64.85% (

1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.07% (

3.18)

32.93% (

-3.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.35% (

3.57)

54.65% (

-3.57)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.98% (

1.8)

12.02% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.51% (

3.69)

37.49% (

-3.69)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

0.62)

26.29% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.59% (

0.82)

61.41% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 55.39%

Barcelona 23.79%

Draw 20.82%

Real Madrid	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.67) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.42) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.18) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.39%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.82%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona

35.8%

Draw

16.1%

Real Madrid

48.2%

Head to Head

Apr 21, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 32

Real Madrid

3-2

Barcelona

Junior (18' pen.), Vazquez (73'), Bellingham (90+1')
Camavinga (34'), Junior (75'), Modric (83')

Christensen (6'), Lopez (69')
Kounde (75'), Cubarsi (90')

> Match Report

Jan 14, 2024 7pm

Final

Real Madrid

4-1

Barcelona

Junior (7', 10', 39' pen.), Rodrygo (64')
Bellingham (43'), Rudiger (62')

Lewandowski (33')
Araujo (37'), Roberto (39')
Araujo (71')

> Match Report

Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 11

Barcelona

1-2

Real Madrid

Gundogan (6')
Lopez (17'), Torres (45+2')

Bellingham (68', 90+2')
Carvajal (61')

> Match Report

Jul 29, 2023 10pm

Club Friendlies

Barcelona

3-0

Real Madrid

Dembele (15'), Lopez Marin (85'), Torres (90+1')
de Jong (41'), Kounde (62'), Romeu (71')

Tchouameni (25'), Camavinga (34'), Carvajal (45+3'), Alaba (81')

> Preview

Apr 5, 2023 8pm

Semi-Finals 2nd Leg

Barcelona

0-4

Real Madrid

(Real Madrid win 4-1 on aggregate)

Junior (45+1'), Benzema (50', 58', 80')

> Match Report

Form Guide

AC Milan 1-0 Real Madrid

Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 0-0 Betis

Villarreal 4-4 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 5-0 Alaves

Granada 0-4 Real Madrid

Barcelona 2-2 Man City (4-1 pen.)

Sevilla 1-2 Barcelona

Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano

Almeria 0-2 Barcelona

Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad

Girona 4-2 Barcelona

Build-up

Barcelona's Ilkay Gundogan celebrates scoring against Alaves on February 3, 2024

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