Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
67.66% ( -0.82) | 18.68% ( 0.32) | 13.65% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.09% ( -0.3) | 39.91% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.73% ( -0.32) | 62.27% ( 0.32) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.16% ( -0.29) | 10.84% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.08% ( -0.65) | 34.92% ( 0.65) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.83% ( 0.55) | 41.16% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.29% ( 0.48) | 77.7% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.66% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.68% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |