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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Atletico Madrid logo

Betis
1 - 0
Atletico

Gimenez (4' og.)
Perraud (75'), Ruibal (83'), San Miguel del Castillo (88'), Pellegrini (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandava (7'), Koke (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Atletico 1-3 Lille
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Real Betis 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico will have had an extra day of recovery for this match, which could prove to be crucial, especially in the second half. It would not be a surprise to see a draw on Sunday night, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAtletico Madrid
43.63% (0.352 0.35) 26.11% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 30.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.24% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.178 0.18)52% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.153 0.15)73.74% (-0.152 -0.15)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.251 0.25)23.7% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.359 0.36)57.82% (-0.357 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)31.54% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.127 -0.13)67.94% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 43.63%
    Atletico Madrid 30.26%
    Draw 26.1%
Real BetisDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.26%

How you voted: Betis vs Atletico

Real Betis
16.7%
Draw
26.0%
Atletico Madrid
57.3%
150
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
2-1
Betis
Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Betis
0-0
Atletico
Ruibal (37'), Isco (51')
Savic (43'), Simeone (54+54')
Apr 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Betis
Correa (86')
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Betis
1-2
Atletico
Fekir (84')
Griezmann (54', 71')
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Betis
1-3
Atletico
Tello (45+5')
Iglesias (23'), Akouokou (40'), Bartra (50'), Tello (71'), Ruibal (87')
Felix (2', 61'), Lemar (80')
Simeone (27'), Herrera (34'), Carrasco (63'), Llorente (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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