Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico have so much quality all across the pitch, and with Simeone having the luxury of freshening his side this weekend, we are not expecting a European hangover. Rayo have enough about them to score, but we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.84% ( -0.18) | 25.89% ( -0.04) | 50.26% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
