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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico


Starfelt (33'), Rodriguez Galiano (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (90')
Mandava (38'), Gimenez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Celta may be unbeaten in nine consecutive home matches, but they do tend to struggle in meetings with Atletico, and we think that the visitors will ultimately have the extra quality required to edge out their hosts and clinch a seventh successive head-to-head victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
33.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.57% (0.163 0.16) 38.65% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.91% (-0.49400000000001 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (-0.622 -0.62)56.78% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.498 -0.5)77.72% (0.499 0.5)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-0.309 -0.31)31.56% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-0.358 -0.36)67.95% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.396 -0.4)28.54% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.501 -0.5)64.33% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 33.77%
    Atletico Madrid 38.64%
    Draw 27.57%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.64%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
15.8%
Draw
14.2%
Atletico Madrid
69.9%
183
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Celta Vigo
De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')

Starfelt (36')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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