Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.