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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berenguer (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic have won just two of their last eight away league games, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Celta side that has avoided defeat in each of their previous four home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
39.57% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.92% (0.158 0.16) 33.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.509 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.69% (-0.64 -0.64)54.31% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (-0.539 -0.54)75.7% (0.538 0.54)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)26.85% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.45 -0.45)62.15% (0.449 0.45)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.372 -0.37)30.49% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)66.71% (0.444 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 39.56%
    Athletic Bilbao 33.51%
    Draw 26.92%
Celta VigoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo
23.8%
Draw
32.1%
Athletic Bilbao
44.0%
84
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
4-3
Celta Vigo
Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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