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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Villarreal logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 2
Villarreal

Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Villarreal

 Villarreal are in a strong run of form, and although Celta are battling for their lives, we are predicting a narrow away victory here, which would strengthen Villarreal's hopes of a European finish this term. Alexander Sorloth has scored nine times in his last eight league appearances and could be the difference between the two sides in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
49.02% (-0.285 -0.29) 24.58% (-0.139 -0.14) 26.4% (0.424 0.42)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.82 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.901 0.9)47.87% (-0.9 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.824 0.82)70.05% (-0.824 -0.82)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.23999999999999 0.24)19.57% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.389 0.39)51.49% (-0.388 -0.39)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.81999999999999 0.82)32.3% (-0.82 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.919 0.92)68.8% (-0.917 -0.92)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.02%
    Villarreal 26.4%
    Draw 24.58%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.02%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.4%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo
23.4%
Draw
23.4%
Villarreal
53.2%
77
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Strand Larsen (29')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Strand Larsen (68')
Moreno (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Villarreal
1-0
Celta Vigo
Parejo (64')
Iborra (34')

Galan (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Mendez (72')
Mina (17')
Moreno (27')
Foyth (45')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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