Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
42.33% ( 0.65) | 27.4% ( 0.15) | 30.27% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% ( -0.83) | 56.98% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -0.67) | 77.88% ( 0.66) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.04) | 26.59% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.18% ( -0.05) | 61.82% ( 0.04) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% ( -1.02) | 34.12% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% ( -1.11) | 70.81% ( 1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |