Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
46.4% ( 0.04) | 25% ( -0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.8% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.79% ( 0.04) | 48.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( 0.03) | 70.37% ( -0.03) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.18% ( 0.03) | 20.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.51% ( 0.05) | 53.49% ( -0.05) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% | 30.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% | 67.07% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |