Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
58.53% ( -0.17) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 19.79% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( -0.06) | 42.29% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.3% ( -0.06) | 64.7% ( 0.07) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% ( -0.07) | 14.15% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% ( -0.14) | 41.82% ( 0.15) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% ( 0.09) | 35.14% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.1% ( 0.09) | 71.9% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 58.53% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |