Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
50.72% ( -0.02) | 22.69% ( 0) | 26.59% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 61.09% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.81% | 39.18% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.49% ( 0) | 61.51% ( -0) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.36% ( -0.01) | 15.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.34% ( -0.01) | 44.66% ( 0.01) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( 0.01) | 27.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% ( 0.01) | 63.1% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.72% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |