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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Bueno (65')
Agoume (45'), Montiel (83'), Miguel Garcia Pascual (90+5'), Marcao (90+3'), Alonso (90+3'), Bade (90+3'), Fernandez (90+3'), Miguel Garcia Pascual (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duran Fernandez (48'), Starfelt (89'), Allende (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 4-3 Sevilla
Sunday, December 8 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo

Four of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are predicting another stalemate here; Sevilla have dropped points in half of their eight home league games this term, and Celta are certainly good enough to avoid defeat at Estadio Ramon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
37.83% (-0.895 -0.89) 26.18% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 35.99% (0.963 0.96)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.324 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.37 0.37)50.96% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.326 0.33)72.83% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)26.25% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (-0.435 -0.44)61.36% (0.435 0.44)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.753 0.75)27.31% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24% (0.97 0.97)62.76% (-0.97 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 37.83%
    Celta Vigo 35.99%
    Draw 26.17%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.164 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.99%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
44.4%
Draw
30.2%
Celta Vigo
25.4%
63
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 29
Sevilla
1-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (18')
Acuna (29'), Ramos (29'), Navas (56'), Soumare (90+3')
Perez (72'), Strand Larsen (78')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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