La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 1Girona
We said: Alaves 1-1 Girona
Alaves have been the draw specialists of late, and we are expecting another stalemate here; Girona were excellent last time out, but the Catalan side have only won two of their nine away league matches during the 2024-25 campaign, and we are expecting a tight match on Saturday afternoon to end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Girona |
32.12% ( -0.01) | 28.21% ( -0.03) | 39.66% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
