Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
43.87% ( -1.45) | 23.14% ( 0.24) | 33% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 63.74% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.48% ( -0.67) | 37.52% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.25% ( -0.73) | 59.75% ( 0.73) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% ( -0.83) | 17.56% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.89% ( -1.47) | 48.12% ( 1.47) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.36) | 22.69% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( 0.54) | 56.34% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.12) Other @ 4% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |