Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.89% ( -0.15) | 26.68% ( -0.02) | 47.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.51% ( -0.04) | 56.49% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.51% ( -0.03) | 77.49% ( 0.03) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.64% ( -0.15) | 37.36% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( -0.15) | 74.15% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 0.06) | 23.84% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 0.09) | 58.02% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.89% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |