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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
41.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 32.04% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.205 0.2)52.7% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66% (0.175 0.18)74.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.187 0.19)30.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.21700000000001 0.22)66.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.52%
    Atletico Madrid 32.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
36.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atletico Madrid
41.1%
90
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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