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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Accrington Stanley

Exeter
5 - 0
Accrington

Mitchell (36'), Key (49'), Nombe (54'), Scott (75'), Stansfield (81')
McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adedoyin (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Accrington Stanley

With less pressure on the shoulders of Exeter, they have the freedom to push hard for the three points. However, Accrington will be eager to bounce back from a tough run of fixtures, and we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils with a battling performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
52.43%24.79%22.78%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61%74.39%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 52.42%
    Accrington Stanley 22.78%
    Draw 24.79%
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Exeter vs Accrington

Exeter City
65.0%
Draw
35.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-0
Accrington
Boateng (45'), Sweeney (86' pen.)
James (36'), Taylor (63')
Mar 11, 2017 3pm
Aug 20, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Exeter
Davies (70')
Pearson (24'), Conneely (59'), Beckles (85'), Hughes (90')
Harley (66'), Taylor (72')
Simpson (23'), Brown (57'), Taylor (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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