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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Accrington Stanley

Exeter
5 - 0
Accrington

Mitchell (36'), Key (49'), Nombe (54'), Scott (75'), Stansfield (81')
McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adedoyin (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Accrington Stanley

With less pressure on the shoulders of Exeter, they have the freedom to push hard for the three points. However, Accrington will be eager to bounce back from a tough run of fixtures, and we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils with a battling performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
52.43%24.79%22.78%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61%74.39%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 52.42%
    Accrington Stanley 22.78%
    Draw 24.79%
Exeter CityDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Exeter vs Accrington

Exeter City
65.0%
Draw
35.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-0
Accrington
Boateng (45'), Sweeney (86' pen.)
James (36'), Taylor (63')
Mar 11, 2017 3pm
Aug 20, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Exeter
Davies (70')
Pearson (24'), Conneely (59'), Beckles (85'), Hughes (90')
Harley (66'), Taylor (72')
Simpson (23'), Brown (57'), Taylor (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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