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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Portsmouth

Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Adedoyin (88')
Rodgers (49'), Fernandes (62'), Leigh (73')
Jensen (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')
Mousinho (11'), Morrell (46'), Scarlett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
23.92% (0.553 0.55) 25.17% (0.297 0.3) 50.91% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.67 -0.67)52.27% (0.675 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.579 -0.58)73.96% (0.584 0.58)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.135 0.13)36.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.135 0.13)73.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.611 -0.61)20.53% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.979 -0.98)53.04% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 23.92%
    Portsmouth 50.91%
    Draw 25.16%
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.91%

How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth

Accrington Stanley
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
4-0
Accrington
Hirst (16', 56'), Raggett (28'), Tunnicliffe (69')
Robertson (2'), Romeo (38')
Harness (21')

Pell (47'), Nottingham (86')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Portsmouth
Pell (50'), Butcher (77')
Sykes (45+2'), Hamilton (64')
Curtis (18'), Harness (86')
Raggett (28'), Curtis (64')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Accrington

Harness (18'), Downing (28'), Byers (64'), White (66')
Phillips (23')
Rodgers (62')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Accrington
3-3
Portsmouth
Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')
Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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