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Championship header 2

League One
Barnsley
League One | 1st Leg
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
1 - 3
Bolton

Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Charles (23', 53' pen.), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Barnsley and Bolton played out draws in their two head-to-head meetings this season, and we think that there could be a similar result on Friday, especially as the Tykes have drawn their last two home games, while the Trotters have seen four of their previous six away games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
36.95% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.59% (0.212 0.21) 37.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.95500000000001 -0.96)48.32% (0.957 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.881 -0.88)70.47% (0.88199999999999 0.88)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)25.52% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.648 -0.65)60.38% (0.65 0.65)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.524 -0.52)25.23% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.728 -0.73)59.98% (0.73 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.95%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.47%
    Draw 25.59%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.47%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
28.9%
Draw
26.5%
Bolton Wanderers
44.6%
83
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 8pm
Barnsley
1-0
Bolton
Kitching (24')
Cole (57')

Dempsey (42'), Santos (81')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Charles (67')
Cadden (63')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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