MX23RW : Monday, December 23 17:33:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Carlisle United

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Carlisle

Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moxon (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 While both these sides are carrying very poor recent records into this match, Fleetwood's draw away to league leaders Portsmouth last week would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence, which they will look to carry into this match. With both sides averaging less than a goal a game, we are certainly not expecting a goal fest here, but we are backing the hosts to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawCarlisle United
43.38% (-0.159 -0.16) 25.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.42% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.68% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)21.95% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.116 -0.12)55.24% (0.123 0.12)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.092000000000013 0.09)28.56% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.116 0.12)64.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 43.39%
    Carlisle United 31.42%
    Draw 25.19%
Fleetwood TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.42%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Carlisle

Fleetwood Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!