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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Cheltenham Town

 With both teams struggling to score goals and sitting within the relegation places, this could be a scrappy contest. A victory for either team would be a huge boost to their survival hopes. However, we can envisage them having to share the spoils after a low-scoring draw. Both sides conceded injury-time goals to drop points last time out and may be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
48.66% (-0.642 -0.64) 25.52% (0.235 0.23) 25.82% (0.401 0.4)
Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.634 -0.63)52.13% (0.629 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.15% (-0.548 -0.55)73.85% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.536 -0.54)21.44% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-0.828 -0.83)54.45% (0.822 0.82)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 48.65%
    Cheltenham Town 25.82%
    Draw 25.52%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Cheltenham

Carlisle United
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Cheltenham Town
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carlisle
2-0
Cheltenham
Devitt (49'), Hope (56')

Alcock (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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