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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Barnsley

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Barnsley


Nsiala (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russell (45+2'), Watters (47')
Pines (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Barnsley

Shrewsbury will be low on confidence after losing nine of their 13 league games this season, and we think that their difficult campaign will continue with a disappointing result at the weekend because we expect Barnsley to have the quality required to claim a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
23.9% (-1.372 -1.37) 23.28% (-0.886 -0.89) 52.82% (2.253 2.25)
Both teams to score 56.18% (1.428 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (2.584 2.58)44.39% (-2.589 -2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (2.459 2.46)66.76% (-2.464 -2.46)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.247 0.25)32.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.279 0.28)69.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (1.812 1.81)16.79% (-1.817 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (3.139 3.14)46.75% (-3.145 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 23.9%
    Barnsley 52.82%
    Draw 23.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.668 -0.67)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.9%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.119 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.636 -0.64)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.508 -0.51)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.415 0.42)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.336 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.323 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.274 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Barnsley

Shrewsbury Town
6.3%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shrewsbury
1-1
Barnsley
Cadden (7' og.)
Benning (49'), Marosi (67'), Perry (89')
Kane (90+2' pen.)
Phillips (58'), Durand de Gevigney (61')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Barnsley
3-0
Shrewsbury
Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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