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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
23.9% ( -1.37) | 23.28% ( -0.89) | 52.82% ( 2.25) |
Both teams to score 56.18% ( 1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( 2.58) | 44.39% ( -2.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( 2.46) | 66.76% ( -2.46) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% ( 0.25) | 32.48% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.99% ( 0.28) | 69.01% ( -0.28) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( 1.81) | 16.79% ( -1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.24% ( 3.14) | 46.75% ( -3.15) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.67) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.51% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.64) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.19) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |