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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Barnsley

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Barnsley


Nsiala (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russell (45+2'), Watters (47')
Pines (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Barnsley

Shrewsbury will be low on confidence after losing nine of their 13 league games this season, and we think that their difficult campaign will continue with a disappointing result at the weekend because we expect Barnsley to have the quality required to claim a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
23.9% (-1.372 -1.37) 23.28% (-0.886 -0.89) 52.82% (2.253 2.25)
Both teams to score 56.18% (1.428 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (2.584 2.58)44.39% (-2.589 -2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (2.459 2.46)66.76% (-2.464 -2.46)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.247 0.25)32.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.279 0.28)69.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (1.812 1.81)16.79% (-1.817 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (3.139 3.14)46.75% (-3.145 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 23.9%
    Barnsley 52.82%
    Draw 23.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.668 -0.67)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.9%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.119 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.636 -0.64)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.508 -0.51)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.415 0.42)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.336 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.323 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.274 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Barnsley

Shrewsbury Town
6.3%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shrewsbury
1-1
Barnsley
Cadden (7' og.)
Benning (49'), Marosi (67'), Perry (89')
Kane (90+2' pen.)
Phillips (58'), Durand de Gevigney (61')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Barnsley
3-0
Shrewsbury
Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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