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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Stockport County |
33.58% ( -0.13) | 24.31% ( -0.06) | 42.1% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.04% ( 0.26) | 42.95% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.64% ( 0.26) | 65.35% ( -0.26) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.07% ( 0.04) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% ( 0.07) | 59.55% ( -0.07) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% ( 0.19) | 20.54% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.94% ( 0.31) | 53.06% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |