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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
53.54% ( 0.17) | 22.36% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 59.59% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60% ( 0.37) | 40% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( 0.38) | 62.36% ( -0.38) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( 0.19) | 14.98% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% ( 0.35) | 43.41% ( -0.35) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( 0.14) | 29.92% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% ( 0.17) | 66.03% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |