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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
3 - 4
Exeter

Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Collins (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Diabate (40'), Caprice (45'), Brown (59'), Sparkes (68'), Collins (72'), Nombe (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Exeter City

Both teams enjoy playing on the front foot, so it would be a surprise if either team managed a clean sheet at Memorial Stadium on Thursday evening. However, Bristol Rovers are undoubtedly in better form at present, with Barton hoping to claim his side's fourth win in six league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
48.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.05% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.43% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.07 0.07)71.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)20.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.51%
    Exeter City 26.43%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Exeter City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Evans (15')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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