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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
3 - 4
Exeter

Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Collins (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Diabate (40'), Caprice (45'), Brown (59'), Sparkes (68'), Collins (72'), Nombe (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Exeter City

Both teams enjoy playing on the front foot, so it would be a surprise if either team managed a clean sheet at Memorial Stadium on Thursday evening. However, Bristol Rovers are undoubtedly in better form at present, with Barton hoping to claim his side's fourth win in six league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
48.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.05% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.43% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.07 0.07)71.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)20.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.51%
    Exeter City 26.43%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Exeter City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Evans (15')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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