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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Derby County |
30.01% (![]() | 25.2% (![]() | 44.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% (![]() | 48.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% (![]() | 70.47% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% (![]() | 29.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% (![]() | 65.93% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% (![]() | 21.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% (![]() | 54.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 7.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |