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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Lincoln City

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Lincoln


Moon (6'), Oshilaja (17'), Brayford (20'), Powell (45+1'), Sweeney (49'), Bola (67'), Kamwa (74'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackett (54')
Mitchell (23'), House (90+3'), Sorensen (90+6')
Mitchell (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Peterborough
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-0 Lincoln City

Both of these teams prefer to soak up possession before hitting their opponents in transition, meaning that they may struggle to adapt to taking the game to each other on Saturday. They were both involved in 0-0 stalemates last weekend, and we would not be surprised to see another one play out at Pirelli Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
38.41% (0.494 0.49) 28.87% (0.175 0.18) 32.72% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.43% (-0.681 -0.68)61.57% (0.681 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.58% (-0.509 -0.51)81.42% (0.511 0.51)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)31.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)67.35% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.828 -0.83)34.78% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.885 -0.88)71.51% (0.886 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 38.41%
    Lincoln City 32.72%
    Draw 28.85%
Burton AlbionDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.79% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Lincoln

Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Lincoln City
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Lincoln
0-1
Burton Albion

Erhahon (80')
Mandroiu (55')
Burroughs (58' og.)
Powell (26'), Hughes (53'), Sweeney (55'), Baah (81')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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