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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
7 - 0
Exeter

Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

 The Wanderers have won matches in various ways throughout the domestic campaign, while Exeter often look unstable and inconsistent at the back, which is why we believe Bolton will continue their winning ways and push towards the top spot in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
58.15% (-0.489 -0.49) 21.13% (0.171 0.17) 20.71% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (-0.354 -0.35)38.41% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.373 -0.37)60.7% (0.374 0.37)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.256 -0.26)13% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.523 -0.52)39.52% (0.524 0.52)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (0.097999999999999 0.1)31.99% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (0.114 0.11)68.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 58.15%
    Exeter City 20.71%
    Draw 21.13%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.71%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Exeter City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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