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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
36.05% ( 0.49) | 24.55% ( -0.09) | 39.41% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% ( 0.48) | 43.6% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% ( 0.47) | 65.99% ( -0.47) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 0.49) | 23.84% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 0.7) | 58.03% ( -0.7) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0.01) | 22.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( 0.02) | 55.46% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |