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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Carlisle United

Blackpool
3 - 0
Carlisle

Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Carlisle United

Barring that loss to Portsmouth last time out, Blackpool have found a bit of form of late and will fancy their chances of earning another three points here against an opponent that are winless in their last four. The Seasiders will also know that a victory could take them as high as the top six, which will be exactly where they want to be heading into the busy festive period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
48.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.03%26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44%71.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)20.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)53.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)69.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 48.24%
    Carlisle United 26.72%
    Draw 25.02%
BlackpoolDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.77%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.72%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Carlisle

Blackpool
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Carlisle
Parker (29'), Murphy (5' og.)
Barker (30'), Evans (74')
Hawley (73')
Lumsdon (45'), McDermott (49'), Raven (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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