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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
44.91% | 27.7% | 27.39% |
Both teams to score 45.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.73% | 59.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.32% | 79.68% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% | 26.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% | 61.45% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.37% | 37.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.6% | 74.4% |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |