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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Apr 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle United

Cheltenham
1 - 1
Carlisle

Hussey (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
44.91%27.7%27.39%
Both teams to score 45.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73%59.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.68%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55%61.45%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6%74.4%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 44.9%
    Carlisle United 27.39%
    Draw 27.7%
Cheltenham TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
2-0
Carlisle
Reilly (15'), Varney (45')
Tozer (7')

Scougall (35'), Iredale (43'), Thomas (56')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carlisle
2-0
Cheltenham
Devitt (49'), Hope (56')

Alcock (35')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle

Forster (21'), Debayo (43'), Boyle (59'), Tozer (68')
Bennett (39')
Etuhu (32'), Gerrard (36')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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