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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Exeter

Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Taylor (35'), Bonds (41'), Southwood (61'), Ferry (65'), Broom (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Key (69')
Aimson (90+3'), Key (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Exeter City

 Both sides are unbeaten in their last three league outings, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. However, the Grecians have only picked up one point from their last three road trips, so we think the home side will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
35.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)53.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.16% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)64.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.07% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.4%
    Exeter City 37.77%
    Draw 26.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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