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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Exeter

Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Taylor (35'), Bonds (41'), Southwood (61'), Ferry (65'), Broom (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Key (69')
Aimson (90+3'), Key (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Exeter City

 Both sides are unbeaten in their last three league outings, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. However, the Grecians have only picked up one point from their last three road trips, so we think the home side will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
35.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.048000000000002 0.05)53.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.16% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)64.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.043000000000006 0.04)27.55% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.07% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.4%
    Exeter City 37.77%
    Draw 26.81%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham

Taylor (81')
Williams (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
5-3
Exeter
Sercombe (7', 45+3' pen.), May (13'), Williams (77'), Boyle (90+1')
Blair (40'), May (47')
Collins (4'), Jay (56'), Law (88')
Sweeney (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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