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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Long (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (78')
Lonwijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

With both sides in patchy form, it is difficult to call this encounter with much conviction, but ultimately, the quality of the league leaders should tell. Plymouth have suffered with defensive injuries of late, so we can see the home side getting on the scoresheet, but the firepower of the division's top scorers should prove too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.06% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 25.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)47.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)70.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)27.64% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.124 -0.12)63.18% (0.123 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.06%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.57%
    Draw 25.37%
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.57%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Plymouth

Cheltenham Town
13.6%
Draw
13.6%
Plymouth Argyle
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Cheltenham
Varney (40'), Aimson (91' og.)
Doyle-Hayes (18'), Varney (50'), Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1am
Steelers
@
Ravens
6pm
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@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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