MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:00:09| >> :600:1086873:1086873:
Shrewsbury Town
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bolton logo

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Bolton


Hoole (62'), Pierre (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osei-Tutu (52'), Charles (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton may have fallen at this stage in each of the last three seasons, but we think that they will end that run when they face a Shrewsbury side they have beaten in four of the previous six meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
21.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.7% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 55.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.197 0.2)44.6% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.19 0.19)66.97% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (0.122 0.12)34.81% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (0.13 0.13)71.54% (-0.131 -0.13)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.077999999999989 0.08)15.81% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.147 0.15)44.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.46%
    Bolton Wanderers 55.84%
    Draw 22.7%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.65% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.46%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.84%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Bolton

Shrewsbury Town
31.3%
Draw
3.1%
Bolton Wanderers
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
2-2
Shrewsbury
Jerome (40'), Maghoma (71')
Udoh (21'), Shipley (43')
Marosi (40'), Bennett (85')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-2
Bolton
Maghoma (65'), Morley (90+8')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Shrewsbury
3-2
Bolton
Street (2'), Saydee (79'), Dunkley (90+2')
Charles (13', 71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bolton

Pennington (32'), Ogbeta (67')
Charles (89')
Charles (90')
rhs 2.0
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