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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
31.98% ( 0.01) | 26.57% ( 0.01) | 41.45% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( -0.06) | 53.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( -0.05) | 74.83% ( 0.05) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69% ( -0.02) | 30.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( -0.03) | 67.3% ( 0.03) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% ( -0.04) | 25.36% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% ( -0.05) | 60.16% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |