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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Exeter City

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter

Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (70'), White (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City

 Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)69.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52%
    Exeter City 24.29%
    Draw 23.7%
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter

Portsmouth
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Portsmouth

Stansfield (31')
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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