League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth2 - 0Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City
Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Exeter City |
52.01% ( 0.01) | 23.7% ( -0) | 24.29% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.13% ( 0.02) | 45.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( 0.02) | 68.18% ( -0.01) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( 0.01) | 17.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.77% ( 0.02) | 48.24% ( -0.01) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.01) | 32.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.47% ( 0.01) | 69.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Portsmouth 52%
Exeter City 24.29%
Draw 23.7%
| Portsmouth | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.29% |
How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter
Portsmouth
28.6%Draw
28.6%Exeter City
42.9%7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
