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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
20.44% ( -1.48) | 22.02% ( -0.38) | 57.55% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.14% ( -0.2) | 42.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.74% ( -0.2) | 65.26% ( 0.2) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( -1.53) | 34.81% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( -1.65) | 71.54% ( 1.65) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% ( 0.54) | 14.65% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% ( 1.03) | 42.78% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.01% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |