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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
2 - 1
Peterborough

Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Peterborough United

This is a tough ask for Exeter against a talented Peterborough outfit. The home side are capable of making it a frustrating evening for Ferguson's team, but we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to an important three points in Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Exeter City win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
20.44% (-1.481 -1.48) 22.02% (-0.38 -0.38) 57.55% (1.866 1.87)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.198 -0.2)42.86% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.197 -0.2)65.26% (0.20299999999999 0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-1.528 -1.53)34.81% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-1.648 -1.65)71.54% (1.652 1.65)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.542 0.54)14.65% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.22% (1.029 1.03)42.78% (-1.024 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 20.44%
    Peterborough United 57.55%
    Draw 22.01%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.45% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 9.41% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 6.36% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.02% (0.384 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.128 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.89% (0.235 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.071 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.55%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Peterborough United
74.1%
27
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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